Peace in Afghanistan:

Role of Regional Countries and United States

Authors

  • Muhammad Khan Professor, Department of Politics and International Relations, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan
  • Shabir Ahnmad Khan Professor & Director, Area Study Centre (Russia, China & Central Asia), University of Peshawar, Peshawar, Pakistan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54418/ca-85.8

Keywords:

Afghanistan, peace process, CBMs, United States, Russia, China, stakeholders, Taliban and negotiations

Abstract

The year-2019, marked the 40 years of instability and chaos in Afghanistan, ever since it was invaded by former Soviet Union in December 1979. In the last forty years, the Afghan instability and conflict has been so transmissible that any peace plan, initiated even with sincerity got entombed into viscid domestic ambiguities, undesired regional rivalries and geopolitical interests of great powers. Owing to internal instability and frequent foreign invasions, there could not develop a cohesive national character within Afghanistan. Besides, there has been no institutional build-up and development which could have provided a strong base for the establishment of good governance system. In the absence of domestic peace and a unanimously acceptable leadership, the invaders and regional players have been exploiting Afghan geopolitics and its diverse societal makeup. Above all, the poor economic system, lack of needed resource base and massive unemployment constrained the flexibility, the Kabul regimes could have utilized for the minimum economic management at the domestic level. Furthermore, the post 2014 drawdown of US and NATO forces did not provide conducive environment where Afghans could have taken independent decisions to determine their future course of action for the larger national interest of the state and masses. The paper takes a critical analysis of the above-mentioned factors, which impeded peace process from taking firm roots in Afghanistan. The paper also puts into debate the US strategic interests in and around Afghanistan and diverging interests of regional countries which further impede peace process in Afghanistan.

References

Abdul Ruff. Will A Reset Be Possible In Russia-Pakistan Relationship? – OpEd, Eurasia Review, March 18, 2018. Accessed at; https://www.eurasiareview.com/18032018-will-a-reset-be-possible-in-russia-pakistan-relationship-oped/

Afghan government frozen out of Moscow peace talks with the Taliban, The Washington Post, February 4, 2019, Accessed at; https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/afghan-government-frozen-out-of-moscow-peace-talks-with-the-taliban/2019/02/04/b9670c46-286a-11e9-8eef-0d74f4bf0295_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.5d8320c23752

Afghan war inflicts record civilian deaths: UNAMA, The Financial Daily16 Jul 2018.

Amini, Mariam. Privatizing War in Afghanistan Endangers Civilians US Security Contractors, Afghan Forces Have Long Eluded Accountability. Human Rights Watch, October 2, 2018. Accessed at; https://www.hrw.org/news/2018/10/03/privatizing-war-afghanistan-endangers-civilians

Asey, Tamim. Are Afghanistan’s Mineral Deposits the Answer to the Country’s Economic Woes?, Global Security Review, December 31, 2018. Accessed at; https://globalsecurityreview.com/afghan-mineral-deposits-answer-economic-woes/

BBC. Afghanistan's new president starts landmark China visit, October 28, 2014. Accessed at; https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-29803768

Brand, Matthew C. General McChrystal’s Strategic Assessment Evaluating the Operating Environment in Afghanistan in the Summer of 2009. Research Paper 2011-1. Air University Press Air Force Research Institute Maxwell Air Force Base.

Coll, Steve. Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan, and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001. Wilson Center, February 24, 2004. Accessed at; https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/ghost-wars-the-secret-history-the-cia-afghanistan-and-bin-laden-the-soviet-invasion-to

Corcoran, ED. & John Feffer. Why afghanistan requires a long-term u.s. Commitment, not as a military occupier but rather as a development partner. Institute for Policy Studies, October 1, 2009. Accessed at; https://ips-dc.org/why_afghanistan/

Drinkwater, Derek. Sir Harold Nicolson and International Relations: the Practitioner as Theorist. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005.

Extended US-Taliban peace talks in Qatar raise Afghan hopes; Talks in Qatar have now gone on for four days with analysts hoping they 'open a way for an intra-Afghan dialogue. Al-Jazeera, January 24, 2019. Accessed at; https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/01/extended-taliban-peace-talks-qatar-raise-afghan-hopes-190124144710617.html.

Ford, Peter. Afghanistan: out with NATO, in with China? The Christian Science Monitor, October 28, 2014. Accessed at; https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2014/1028/Afghanistan-Out-with-NATO-in-with-China

Imran Khan: Pakistan PM meets Trump in bid to mend ties, BBC News, July 23, 2019. Accessed at; https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-49032495.

Kelly, Nora. Full Transcript: Donald Trump Announces His Afghanistan Policy. Atlantic, August 21, 2017. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/full-transcript-donald-trump-announces-his-afghanistan-policy/537552/

Khan, Raja Muhammad. China's Economic and Strategic Interests in Afghanistan. FWU Journal of Social Sciences, Special Issue, no. 1(1), Summer 2015

Luttwak, Edward. War of Error: The CIA in Afghanistan & Pakistan. Times Literary Supplement, June 29, 2018. https://www.realclearbooks.com/2018/06/29/war_of_error_the_cia_in_afghanistan_amp_pakistan_16063.html

Miglani, Sanjeev. Taliban praise India for resisting Afghan entanglement. Reuters, June 17, 2012. Accessed at; https://www.reuters.com/article/afghanistan-taliban-india-idUSL3E8HG01G20120617

Nawaz, Shuja. Exiting Afghanistan: A Regional Approach. Atlantic Council, June 19, 2012. Accessed at; http://shujanawaz.com/2012/06/exiting-afghanistan-a-regional-approach/

Panda, Ankit. Afghanistan and China Open a New Chapter; Afghan President Ashraf Ghani is in China for his first trip abroad as president, The Diplomat, October 29, 2014. Accessed at; https://thediplomat.com/2014/10/afghanistan-and-china-open-a-new-chapter/

Raghava, Sudarsan. The Islamic State is making these Afghans long for the Taliban. The Washington Post, October 13, 2015. https://www.washingtonpost.com/

Russia reaches out to Afghan Leaders for Taliban Talks, Angering Kabul, The Moscow Times (Reuters), November 2’ 2018. Accessed at; https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2018/11/02/russia-reaches-out-to-afghan-leaders-for-taliban-talks-angering-kabul-a63395.

Russian bid for Taliban talks angers Kabul. The News International (Reuter), November 3, 2018. https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/388977-russian-bid-for-taliban-talks-angers-kabul.

Sahak, Abdul Matin 'Horrors that can't be told': Afghan women report Islamic State rapes. Reuters-WORLD NEWS JULY 30, 2018. Accessed at; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-islamic-state-rape/horrors-that-cant-be-told-afghan-women-report-islamic-state-rapes-idUSKBN1KK0WG

Sajjad, Baqir & Syed, Khalilzad. PM discuss efforts for peace in Afghanistan, Dawn, October 29, 2019. Accessed at: 0https://www.dawn.com/news/1513493/khalilzad-pm-discuss-efforts-for-peace-in-afghanistan

Shifting alliances as Pakistan manages relationship with US. Daily Times, February 28, 2018. Accessed at; https://dailytimes.com.pk/208331/shifting-alliances-pakistan-manages-relationship-us/

Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Negotiated Settlement in Afghanistan: Elements of a Grand Bargain. https://nsiteam.com/social/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Grand-Bargain-White-Paper-Final.pdf

Trump cancels secret US meeting with Afghan Taliban. BBC, September 8, 2019. Accessed at; https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-49624132

Trump Unites Left and Right Against Troop Plans, but Puts Off Debate on War Aims. The New York Times; December 27, 2018. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/27/us/politics/trump-syria-afghanistan-withdraw.html.

Violence mars Afghanistan peace meeting in Kabul. BBC South Asia, June 2, 2010. Accessed at; https://www.bbc.com/news/10211026.

Wajih Ullah. China’s Maneuvering In Afghanistan: Political And Economic Interest – OpEd, Eurasia Review, December 2018. Accessed at; Accessed at; https://www.eurasiareview.com/01122018-chinas-maneuvering-in-afghanistan-political-and-economic-interest-oped/

Ward, Clarissa (Chief International Correspondent), Najibullah Quraishi and Salma Abdelaziz. 36 Hours with Taliban; CNN goes exclusively behind Taliban lines as the US prepares to pull its troops after 17 years of war in Afghanistan. CNN, February 2019. Accessed at; https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2019/02/middleeast/36-hours-with-the-taliban-intl/

Wittes, Tamara Cofman. The Lessons of the Afghanistan Papers. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/what-the-afghanistan-papers-revealed/603721/

Downloads

Published

2020-01-20

How to Cite

Khan, M. ., & Khan, S. A. (2020). Peace in Afghanistan: : Role of Regional Countries and United States. Central Asia, 85(Winter), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.54418/ca-85.8